Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.006167 0.006884 0.007665 0.008580 0.009625 0.010784 0.012173
2025-03-23 0.004980 0.005949 0.007091 0.008544 0.010358 0.012564 0.015476
2025-03-30 0.004500 0.005627 0.007027 0.008916 0.011426 0.014689 0.019320
2025-04-06 0.003914 0.005063 0.006551 0.008647 0.011572 0.015577 0.021604
2025-04-13 0.003474 0.004624 0.006164 0.008416 0.011692 0.016389 0.023829
2025-04-20 0.003188 0.004353 0.005963 0.008399 0.012083 0.017595 0.026766
2025-04-27 0.003034 0.004246 0.005971 0.008669 0.012907 0.019524 0.031091
2025-05-04 0.002820 0.004028 0.005793 0.008633 0.013243 0.020713 0.034353
2025-05-11 0.002656 0.003869 0.005683 0.008683 0.013709 0.022151 0.038245
2025-05-18 0.002478 0.003672 0.005496 0.008586 0.013911 0.023153 0.041479
2025-05-25 0.002366 0.003568 0.005442 0.008698 0.014474 0.024843 0.046273
2025-06-01 0.002225 0.003406 0.005283 0.008614 0.014676 0.025892 0.049949
2025-06-08 0.002038 0.003163 0.004980 0.008269 0.014398 0.026058 0.051951
2025-06-15 0.001924 0.003031 0.004855 0.008229 0.014689 0.027377 0.056713
2025-06-22 0.001889 0.003029 0.004946 0.008586 0.015775 0.030434 0.065989
2025-06-29 0.001757 0.002850 0.004718 0.008328 0.015615 0.030874 0.069170
2025-07-06 0.001642 0.002695 0.004520 0.008107 0.015504 0.031398 0.072657
2025-07-13 0.001568 0.002605 0.004431 0.008091 0.015814 0.032897 0.078955
2025-07-20 0.001538 0.002592 0.004481 0.008349 0.016740 0.035933 0.090058
2025-07-27 0.001470 0.002506 0.004390 0.008315 0.017017 0.037478 0.097347
2025-08-03 0.001418 0.002445 0.004341 0.008362 0.017483 0.039550 0.106682
2025-08-10 0.001353 0.002356 0.004230 0.008270 0.017613 0.040789 0.113763
2025-08-17 0.001315 0.002316 0.004214 0.008377 0.018227 0.043380 0.125840